Monday, May 5, 2008

The Geography of Non-Whiteness in the US Congress

Of 435 Congressional districts, 142 (33%) are less than 65% non-Latino white. In these districts, Democrats hold a 110-32 advantage, with all of the Republican seats being in the South and West. In the following, B is black, L is Latino, and A is Asian. No statistics were available at cqpolitics.com on Native Americans, but some concentrations are noted below. All seats are Democratic-held unless otherwise noted.

The most nonwhite districts, ranked by percentage of non-Latino whites, are:

NY-16 3%- Serrano- south Bronx. 30% B, 63% L.
CA-31 10%- Becerra- central LA. 70% L, 14% A.
CA-35 10%- Waters- south central LA. 34% B, 47% L.
CA-34 11%- Roybal-Allard- LA downtown. 77% L.
NY-06 13%- Meeks- around JFK airport in Queens. 52% B, 17% L.
CA-38 14%- Napolitano- east LA. 71% L, 10% A.
CA-32 15%- Solis- east LA county. 62% L, 18% A.
NY-10 16%- Towns- Brooklyn. 60% B, 17% L.
NY-15 16%- Rangel- Harlem (Manhattan). 31% B, 48% L.
TX-09 17%- Green- Houston. 37% B, 33% L.
TX-16 17%- Reyes- El Paso. 78% L.
CA-37 17%- Richardson- Long Beach, south central LA. 25% B, 43% L, 11% A.
CA-47 17%- Loretta Sanchez- Anaheim (Orange County). 65% L, 14% A.
IL-04 18%- Gutierrez- mostly in Chicago. 74% L.
FL-17 18%- Meek- Miami area. 55% B, 21% L.
TX-18 20%- Jackson Lee- Houston. 40% B, 36% L.
CA-33 20%- Watson- western LA. 30% B, 35% L, 12% A.

Of these 17, four are in New York City, one is in Chicago, one is in the Miami area, two are in Houston, one is in El Paso, and 8 are in the Los Angeles area. These are all Democratic. The three least white Republican-controlled districts (less than 30% non-Latino white) are the exceptional Miami-area Latino-majority districts of the Diaz-Balart brothers and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen. There are four other Republican-controlled districts which are under 50% non-Latino white in New Mexico and California, with the least white, 44%, in the southern New Mexico district of Steve Pearce.

In the Northeast, 24 of 92 seats are less than 65% non-Latino white, of which 1 is in Massachusetts, 12 are in New York, 5 are in New Jersey, 2 are in Pennsylvania, and 4 are in Maryland. All 24 seats are currently Democratic, and are rated as safe Democratic.

The Massachusetts seat (MA-08) is in the central part of the Boston area. The New York seats are NY-04, NY-05, NY-06 (majority B), NY-07, NY-09, NY-10 (majority B), NY-11 (majority B), NY-12, NY-15, NY-16 (majority L), NY-17, and NY-28. These are all entirely in New York City except NY-17, which is partially in the northern suburbs, and NY-28, which is a narrow strip connecting parts of the Buffalo and Rochester areas. The New Jersey seats are NJ-06, NJ-08, NJ-09, NJ-10 (majority B), and NJ-13, which are all in the inner suburbs of New York City. The Pennsylvania seats are PA-01 and PA-02 (majority B) in Philadelphia. The Maryland seats are MD-04 (majority B), MD-05, MD-07 (majority B), and MD-08. MD-07 is largely in Baltimore and the other three are mostly in the Washington suburbs with MD-05 containing substantial rural area east of Washington DC.

In the Midwest, 12 of 100 seats are less than 65% white, of which 1 is in Ohio, 2 are in Michigan, 1 is in Indiana, 5 are in Illinois, 1 is in Wisconsin, and 2 are in Missouri. IN-07 (63% white) is rated as competitive.

The Ohio seat, OH-11 (majority B), is mostly in Cleveland. The Michigan seats, MI-13 (majority B) and MI-14 (majority B), are mostly in Detroit. The Indiana seat, IN-07, is entirely in Indianapolis. The Illinois seats, IL-01 (majority B), IL-02 (majority B), IL-04 (majority L), IL-07 (majority B), and IL-09, are all in Chicago. The Wisconsin seat, WI-04, is mostly in Milwaukee. The Missouri seats, MO-01 (majority B) and MO-05, are mostly in St. Louis and Kansas City respectively.

In the South, 54 of 145 seats are less than 65% white, of which 4 are in Virginia, 6 are in North Carolina, 2 are in South Carolina, 7 are in Georgia, 2 are in Alabama, 1 is in Tennessee, 7 are in Florida, 2 are in Mississippi, 4 are in Louisiana, and 19 are in Texas. VA-02 (67%), VA-04 (62%), NC-08 (62%), GA-03 (56%), GA-11 (62%), AL-03 (65%), FL-18 (30%, majority L), FL-21 (21%, majority L), and FL-25 (24%, majority L), MS-03 (64%), LA-04 (62%), LA-05 (63%), TX-02 (64%), TX-03 (63%), TX-11 (65%), TX-19 (64%), TX-24 (64%), and TX-32 (50%) are held by Republicans with VA-02, NC-08, FL-21, FL-25, LA-04 rated as competitive. The Democratic-held seats GA-12 (52%), LA-06 (63%), and TX-23 (41%, majority L) are rated as competitive.

The Virginia seats are VA-02, VA-03 (majority B), VA-04, and VA-08. The first three are in the area around Norfolk and Richmond including major rural areas and VA-08 is in the Washington DC area. The North Carolina seats are NC-01 (majority B), NC-02, NC-07, NC-08, NC-12, and NC-13. These are in the east and central parts of the state with all except NC-13 (a narrow strip connecting Charlotte to Winston-Salem and Greensboro) having major rural areas. NC-02 has a large part of the Raleigh area. SC-05 and SC-06 (majority B) are mostly rural areas in the eastern part of the state. The Georgia seats are GA-02, GA-03, GA-04 (majority B), GA-05 (majority B), GA-11, GA-12, and GA-13. Of these, GA-02 and GA-12 are mostly rural areas in southern Georgia and the rest are primarily in the Atlanta area with GA-03 and GA-11, which are both Republican-held, containing significant rural areas. The Alabama seats are AL-03 and AL-07, of which AL-07 (majority B) contains much of the Birmingham area and AL-03 is a more rural area in the southern part of the state. The Tennessee seat TN-09 (majority B) is mostly in Memphis.

The Florida seats are FL-03, FL-11, FL-17 (majority B), FL-18 (majority L), FL-21 (majority L), FL-23 (majority B), and FL-25 (majority L). FL-03 is in central Florida near Orlando with a large rural area, FL-11 is in Tampa, and the other five are in the Miami metropolitan area.

The Mississippi seats MS-02 (majority B) and MS-03 are mostly rural areas, splitting Jackson between them. The Louisiana seats are LA-02 (majority B), LA-04, LA-05, and LA-06. LA-02 is in New Orleans, LA-06 is mostly in the Baton Rouge area, and LA-04 and LA-05 are the mostly rural northern part of the state. The Texas seats are TX-02, TX-03, TX-09, TX-11, TX-14, TX-15 (majority L), TX-16 (majority L), TX-18, TX-19, TX-20 (majority L), TX-22, TX-23 (majority L), TX-24, TX-25 (majority L), TX-27 (majority L), TX-28 (majority L), TX-29 (majority L), TX-30, and TX-32. TX-02 and TX-14 are rural East Texas areas with some of the Houston area, TX-22 is in suburban Houston, and TX-09, TX-18, and TX-29 are in central Houston. TX-03, TX-24 is in the Dallas suburbs while TX-30 and TX-32 are in central Dallas. TX-11 and TX-19 (Lubbock) are in rural west Texas. TX-15, TX-16, TX-20, TX-23, TX-25, TX-27, TX-28 are "Latin Texas", the southern half of the state, with TX-16 in El Paso, TX-20 in San Antonio, and TX-25 in Austin.

In the West, 52 of 98 seats are less than 65% white, of which 1 is in Colorado, 3 are in New Mexico, 3 are in Arizona, 1 is in Nevada, 42 are in California, and 2 are in Hawaii. NM-01 (49%), NM-02 (44%), AZ-01 (58%), CA-19 (60%), CA-21 (46%), CA-25 (57%), CA-26 (53%), CA-40 (49%), CA-41 (64%), CA-42 (54%), CA-44 (51%), CA-45 (50%), CA-46 (63%), CA-49 (58%) are Republican-held, with NM-01, NM-02 rated as competitive. The Democratic-held seat CA-11 (64%) is rated as competitive.

The Colorado seat CO-01 is in Denver. The New Mexico seats are the entire state, with NM-03 north of Albuquerque having a high Native American population. AZ-01 is the less populated northern part of the state with a large Native American population. AZ-04 (majority L) is central Phoenix and AZ-07 (majority L) extends from the Phoenix area to Tucson and the Mexican border. NV-01 is in central Las Vegas. The Hawaii seats are the entire state. HI-01 in Honolulu is the only majority-Asian district, and HI-02 would have a large Native American population in the Census if the US hadn't declared native Hawaiians not to be "Indians" in order to prevent established law on native land claims from being applied to the conquest of Hawaii.

The California seats are CA-05, 07, 08, 09, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20 (majority L), 21, 23, 25, 26, 27, 28 (majority L), 29, 31 (majority L), 32 (majority L), 33, 34 (majority L), 35, 36, 37, 38 (majority L), 39 (majority L), 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47 (majority L), 49, 51 (majority L), and 53. The metropolitan districts are CA-06 through CA-16 in the Bay Area, CA-25 through CA-49 in the Los Angeles area, and CA-50 through CA-53 in the San Diego area. Since 42 of the 53 districts are less than 65% white, it is more illuminating to describe the districts which are more than 65% white. CA-01, CA-02, CA-03, and CA-04 are the part of California north of Sacramento and the Bay Area, with CA-06 being in the Bay Area north of the Golden Gate Bridge. CA-22 is the south end of the Central Valley around Bakersfield and the coast to the west and CA-24 is the area to the northwest of the Los Angeles area around the "ranches" of Ronald Reagan and Michael Jackson. In the Los Angeles area, CA-30 is around Beverly Hills and Santa Monica and CA-48 is in southern Orange County around Irvine. CA-50 and CA-52 are suburban areas north of San Diego.

More Fun with the Partisan Voting Index- The Center

Of the 435 Congressional districts, 105 voted within five points of the national average of the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections.

The numbers after the incumbent name and party affiliation are percentages of non-Latino white, black, Latino, and Asian people. Of the 105 seats in the center, Republicans hold a 54-51
advantage.

The Northeast has 92 House seats, of which 25 are in the center. Competitive Democratic-held seats (9 of 11) are ME-02, NH-01, NH-02, CT-05, NY-19, NY-20, NY-24, PA-04, PA-08 and of the Republican-held seats, NY-25, NY-26, NJ-03, NJ-05, NJ-07, PA-03, PA-06, PA-15, PA-18 (9 of 14) are competitive.

ME-02 (D+4)- Michaud (D)- 97, 0, 1, 0
NH-01 (Even)- Shea-Porter (D)- 95, 1, 2, 1
NH-02 (D+3)- Hodes (D)- 95, 1, 2, 1
CT-05 (D+4)- Murphy (D)- 80, 5, 11, 2
NY-01 (D+3)- Bishop (D)- 84, 4, 8, 2
NY-03 (D+2)- King (R)- 87, 2, 7 , 3
NY-13 (D+1)- Fossella (R)- 71, 6, 11, 9
NY-19 (R+1)- Hall (D)- 84, 5, 8, 2
NY-20 (R+3)- Gillibrand (D)- 93, 2, 2, 1
NY-23 (Even)- McHugh (R)- 93, 3, 2, 1
NY-24 (R+1)- Arcuri (D)- 92, 3, 2, 1
NY-25 (D+3)- Walsh (R)- 87, 7, 2, 2
NY-26 (R+3)- Reynolds (R)- 92, 3, 2, 2
NJ-02 (D+4)- LoBiondo (R)- 72, 14, 10, 2
NJ-03 (D+3)- Saxton (R)- 83, 9, 4, 3
NJ-04 (R+1)- Smith (R)- 81, 8, 8, 2
NJ-05 (R+4)- Garrett (R)- 86, 1, 4, 7
NJ-07 (R+1)- Ferguson (R)- 79, 4, 7, 8
PA-03 (R+2)- English (R)- 94, 3, 1, 0
PA-04 (R+3)- Altmire (D)- 94, 3, 1, 1
PA-06 (D+2)- Gerlach (R)- 86, 7, 4, 2
PA-07 (D+4)- Sestak (D)- 88, 5, 1, 4
PA-08 (D+3)- Murphy (D)- 91, 3, 2, 2
PA-15 (D+2)- Dent (R)- 86, 3, 8, 2
PA-18 (R+2)- Murphy (R)- 95, 2, 1, 1

The Midwest has 100 House seats, of which 31 are in the center. Competitive Democratic-held seats (4 of 10) are IN-02, WI-08, MN-01, and KS-03 and of the Republican-held seats, OH-01, OH-14, OH-15, MI-07, MI-09, IL-06, IL-10, IL-11, and MN-03 (9 of 21) are competitive.

OH-01 (R+1)- Chabot (R)- 69, 27, 1, 1
OH-03 (R+3)- Turner (R)- 79, 17, 1, 1
OH-06 (Even)- Wilson (D)- 95, 2, 1, 0
OH-12 (R+1)- Tiberi (R)- 72, 22, 2, 2
OH-14 (R+2)- LaTourette (R)- 94, 2, 1, 1
OH-15 (R+1)- Pryce (R)- 85, 7, 2, 3
OH-16 (R+4)- Regula (R)- 92, 5, 1, 1
MI-01 (R+2)- Stupak (D)- 94, 1, 1, 0
MI-04 (R+3)- Camp (R)- 93, 2, 2, 1
MI-06 (R+2)- Upton (R)- 84, 9, 4, 1
MI-07 (R+2)- Walberg (R)- 88, 6, 3, 1
MI-08 (R+2)- Rogers (R)- 88, 5, 3, 2
MI-09 (Even)- Knollenberg (R)- 81, 8, 3, 6
MI-10 (R+4)- Miller (R)- 94, 1, 2, 1
MI-11 (R+1)- McCotter (R)- 90, 4, 2, 3
IN-02 (R+4)- Donnelly (D)- 84, 8, 5, 1
IL-06 (R+3)- Roskam (R)- 75, 3, 12, 8
IL-10 (D+4)- Kirk (R)- 75, 5, 12, 6
IL-11 (R+1)- Weller (R)- 84, 8, 7, 1
IL-16 (R+4)- Manzullo (R)- 86, 5, 6, 1
WI-01 (R+2)- Ryan (R)- 87, 5, 6, 1
WI-03 (D+3)- Kind (D)- 96, 0, 1, 1
WI-07 (D+2)- Obey (D)- 95, 0, 1, 1
WI-08 (Even)- Kagen (D)- 92, 1, 2, 1
MN-01 (R+1)- Walz (D)- 93, 1, 3, 2
MN-02 (R+3)- Kline (R)- 92, 2, 3, 2
MN-03 (R+1)- Ramstad (R)- 89, 4, 2, 4
MN-08 (D+4)- Oberstar (D)- 95, 1, 1, 0
IA-03 (D+1)- Boswell (D)- 90, 3, 3, 2
IA-04 (Even)- Lathem (R)- 95, 1, 3, 1
KS-03 (R+4)- Moore (D)- 80, 9, 7, 3

The South has 145 House seats, of which 33 are in the center. Competitive Democratic-held seats (4 of 21) are GA-12, FL-16, FL-22, TX-23 and of the Republican-held seats, VA-11, NC-08, FL-08, FL-13, FL-15, FL-24, FL-25 (7 of 12) are competitive.

VA-11 (R+1)- Davis (R)- 67, 10, 9, 11
WV-03 (Even)- Rahall (D)- 94, 4, 1, 0
NC-02 (R+3)- Etheridge (D)- 59, 30, 8, 1
NC-07 (R+3)- McIntyre (D)- 63, 23, 4, 0
NC-08 (R+3)- Hayes (R)- 62, 27, 7, 2
NC-13 (D+2)- Miller (D)- 63, 27, 6, 2
KY-03 (D+2)- Yarmuth (D)- 76, 19, 2, 1
TN-04 (R+3)- Davis (D)- 93, 4, 2, 0
TN-06 (R+4)- Goodman (D)- 89, 6, 3, 1
TN-08 (Even)- Tanner (D)- 74, 22, 2, 0
AL-03 (R+4)- Rogers (R)- 65, 32, 1, 1
GA-02 (D+2)- Bishop (D)- 50, 44, 3, 1
GA-12 (D+2)- Barrow (D)- 52, 42, 3, 1
FL-02 (R+2)- Boyd (D)- 72, 22, 3, 1
FL-07 (R+3)- Mica (R)- 81, 9, 7, 1
FL-08 (R+3)- Keller (R)- 70, 7, 18, 3
FL-09 (R+4)- Bilirakis (R)- 85, 4, 8, 2
FL-10 (D+1)- Young (R)- 88, 4, 4, 2
FL-13 (R+4)- Buchanan (R)- 86, 4, 8, 1
FL-15 (R+4)- Weldon (R)- 78, 7, 11, 2
FL-16 (R+2)- Mahoney (D)- 82, 6, 10, 1
FL-18 (R+4)- Ros-Lehtinen (R)- 30, 6, 63, 1
FL-22 (D+4)- Klein (D)- 82, 4, 11, 2
FL-24 (R+3)- Feeney (R)- 80, 6, 10, 2
FL-25 (R+4)- M. Diaz-Balart (R)- 24, 10, 62, 2
AR-01 (D+1)- Berry (D)- 80, 17, 2, 0
AR-02 (Even)- Snyder (D)- 76, 19, 2, 1
AR-04 (Even)- Ross (D)- 71, 24, 3, 0
TX-15 (D+3)- Hinojosa (D)- 27, 3, 69, 0
TX-23 (R+4)- Rodriguez (D)- 41, 2, 55, 1
TX-25 (D+1)- Doggett (D)- 22, 7, 69, 1
TX-27 (R+1)- Ortiz (D)- 28, 2, 68, 1
TX-28 (R+1)- Cuellar (D)- 28, 6, 65, 0

The West has 98 House seats, of which 16 are in the center. Competitive Democratic-held seats (4 of 9) are AZ-05, AZ-08, CA-11, OR-05 and of the Republican-held seats, NM-01, AZ-01, NV-03, WA-08 (4 of 7) are competitive.

CO-07 (D+2)- Perlmutter (D)- 69, 6, 20, 3
NM-01 (D+2)- Wilson (R)- 49, 2, 43, 2
AZ-01 (R+2)- Renzi (R)- 58, 1, 16, 1
AZ-05 (R+4)- Mitchell (D)- 77, 3, 13, 3
AZ-08 (R+1)- Giffords (D)- 74, 3, 18, 2
NV-03 (D+1)- Porter (R)- 69, 5, 16, 6
CA-11 (R+3)- McNerney (D)- 64, 3, 20, 9
CA-18 (D+3)- Cardoza (D)- 39, 6, 42, 9
CA-26 (R+4)- Dreier (R)- 53, 4, 24, 15
CA-45 (R+3)- Bono Mack (R)- 50, 6, 38, 3
OR-04 (Even)- DeFazio (D)- 90, 1, 4, 2
OR-05 (D+1)- Hooley (D)- 84, 1, 10, 2
WA-02 (D+3)- Larsen (D)- 86, 1, 6, 3
WA-03 (Even)- Baird (D)- 88, 1, 5, 3
WA-08 (D+2)- Reichert (R)- 82, 2, 4, 8

More Fun With the Partisan Voting Index-- Red or Blue Tendencies

In previous posts, I talked about seats with a strong Republican or Democratic tendencies. This post is about seats with a smaller deviation from the norm- seats with 5% to 9% away from average. The numbers after the incumbent name and party affiliation are percentages of non-Latino white, black, Latino, and Asian people. First, 68 seats have R+5 to R+9. Of these, Republicans hold a 42-26 advantage.

The Northeast has 92 House seats, of which 4 are R+5 to R+9. NY-29 is rated competitive. Of the 2 Democratic-held seats, PA-10 is rated as competitive but PA-17 is rated as safe Democratic.

NY-29 (R+5): Kuhl (R)- 93, 3, 1, 2
NJ-11 (R+6): Frelinghuysen (R)- 83, 3, 7, 6
PA-10 (R+8): Carney (D)- 95, 2, 1, 0
PA-17 (R+7): Holden (D)- 87, 7, 3, 1

The Midwest has 100 House seats, of which 21 are R+5 to R+9. IL-18, MN-06, MO-06, and MO-09 are rated competitive. Of the 7 Democratic-held seats, OH-18, IN-08, IN-09, IL-08, IL-14, and KS-02 are rated competitive but MN-07 is rated as safe Democratic.

OH-07 (R+6): Hobson (R)- 89, 7, 1, 1
OH-18 (R+6): Space (D)- 96, 2, 1, 0
MI-02 (R+9): Hoekstra (R)- 87, 4, 5, 1
MI-03 (R+9): Ehlers (R)- 82, 8, 6, 2
IN-08 (R+9): Ellsworth (D)- 94, 4, 1, 1
IN-09 (R+7): Hill (D)- 94, 2, 2, 1
IL-08 (R+5): Bean (D)- 79, 3, 11, 6
IL-13 (R+5): Biggert (R)- 82, 5, 5, 7
IL-14 (R+5): Foster (D)- 74, 5, 18, 2
IL-15 (R+6): Johnson (R)- 88, 6, 2, 2
IL-18 (R+5): LaHood (R)- 90, 6, 2, 1
IL-19 (R+8): Shimkus (R)- 94, 3, 1, 0
WI-06 (R+5): Petri (R)- 94, 1, 2, 1
MN-06 (R+5): Bachmann (R)- 95, 1, 1, 1
MN-07 (R+6): Peterson (D)- 93, 0, 3, 1
IA-05 (R+8): King (R)- 94, 1, 4, 1
MO-02 (R+9): Akin (R)- 93, 2, 1, 2
MO-06 (R+5): Graves (R)- 92, 3, 2, 1
MO-09 (R+7): Hulshof (R)- 93, 4, 1, 1
NE-02 (R+9): Terry (R)- 80, 10, 6, 2
KS-02 (R+7): Boyda (D)- 87, 5, 4, 1

The South has 145 House seats, of which 26 are R+5 to R+9. VA-02, WV-02, FL-21, LA-04 are rated competitive. Of the 11 Democratic-held seats, NC-11, GA-08, AL-05, LA-06, and TX-23 are rated competitive but VA-10, WV-01, SC-05, KY-06, LA-03, OK-02 are rated as safe Democratic.

VA-01 (R+9): Wittman (R)- 75, 18, 3, 2
VA-02 (R+6): Drake (R)- 67, 21, 4, 4
VA-04 (R+5): Forbes (R)- 62, 33, 2, 1
VA-05 (R+6): Goode (R)- 72, 24, 2, 1
VA-09 (R+7): Boucher (D)- 93, 4, 1, 1
VA-10 (R+5): Wolf (R)- 77, 7, 7, 7
WV-01 (R+6): Mollohan (D)- 96, 2, 1, 1
WV-02 (R+5): Capito (R)- 94, 4, 1, 1
NC-11 (R+7): Shuler (D)- 90, 5, 3, 0
SC-02 (R+9): Wilson (R)- 68, 23, 3, 1
SC-05 (R+6): Spratt (D)- 64, 32, 2, 1
KY-05 (R+8): Rogers (R)- 97, 1, 1, 0
KY-06 (R+7): Chandler (D)- 87, 8, 2, 1
TN-03 (R+8): Wamp (R)- 85, 11, 2, 1
GA-08 (R+8): Marshall (D)- 83, 13, 2, 1
AL-05 (R+6): Cramer (D)- 78, 17, 2, 1
FL-05 (R+5): Brown-Waite (R)- 88, 5, 6, 1
FL-06 (R+8): Stearns (R)- 79, 12, 5, 2
FL-12 (R+5): Putnam (R)- 72, 13, 12, 1
FL-21 (R+6): L. Diaz-Balart (R)- 21, 7, 70, 2
LA-03 (R+5): Melancon (D)- 70, 25, 2, 1
LA-04 (R+7): McCrery (R)- 62, 33, 2, 1
LA-06 (R+7): Cazayoux (D)- 63, 33, 2, 1
LA-07 (R+7): Boustany (R)- 72, 25, 1, 1
OK-02 (R+5): Boren (D)- 70, 4, 2, 0
TX-23 (R+4): Rodriguez (D)- 41, 2, 55, 1

The West has 98 House seats, of which 17 are R+5 to R+9. NM-02, AZ-03, NV-02 are rated competitive. Of the 6 Democratic-held seats, NC-11, GA-08, AL-05, LA-06, and TX-23 are rated competitive but CO-03 are rated as safe Democratic.

CO-03 (R+6): Salazar (D)- 75, 1, 21, 0
CO-04 (R+9): Musgrave (R)- 79, 1, 17, 1
NM-02 (R+6): Pearce (R)- 44, 2, 47, 1
AZ-02 (R+9): Franks (R)- 78, 2, 14, 2
AZ-03 (R+6): Shadegg (R)- 79, 2, 14, 2
NV-02 (R+8): Heller (R)- 75, 2, 15, 3
CA-03 (R+7): Lungren (R)- 74, 4, 11, 6
CA-24 (R+5): Gallegly (R)- 69, 2, 22, 4
CA-25 (R+7): McKeon (R)- 57, 8, 27, 4
CA-40 (R+8): Royce (R)- 49, 2, 30, 16
CA-41 (R+9): Lewis (R)- 64, 5, 23, 4
CA-44 (R+6): Calvert (R)- 51, 5, 35, 5
CA-46 (R+6): Rohrabacher (R)- 63, 1, 17, 15
CA-48 (R+8): Campbell (R)- 68, 1, 15, 13
CA-50 (R+5): Bilbray (R)- 66, 2, 19, 10
CA-52 (R+9): Hunter (R)- 73, 4, 14, 5
WA-05 (R+7): Rodgers (R)- 88, 1, 5, 2

-------------------------

49 seats have D+5 to D+9. Of these, Democrats hold an impressive 47-2 advantage.

The Northeast has 92 House seats, of which 19 are D+5 to D+9. ME-01, MA-05, and CT-02 are rated competitive. Of the 2 Republican-held seats, CT-04 is rated as competitive but DE is rated as safe Republican.

ME-01 (D+6)- Allen (D)- 96, 1, 1, 1
VT (D+8)- Welch (D)- 96, 0, 1, 1
MA-05 (D+9)- Tsongas (D)- 80, 2, 12, 5
MA-10 (D+8)- Delahunt (D)- 92, 2, 1, 3
CT-02 (D+8)- Courtney (D)- 89, 3, 4, 2
CT-04 (D+5)- Shays (R)- 71, 11, 13, 3
NY-02 (D+7)- Israel (D)- 72, 10, 14, 3
NY-04 (D+9)- McCarthy (D)- 62, 18, 14, 4
NY-21 (D+9)- McNulty (D)- 85, 7, 3, 2
NY-22 (D+6)- Hinchey (D)- 80, 8, 8, 3
NY-27 (D+7)- Higgins (D)- 89, 4, 5, 1
NJ-12 (D+8)- Holt (D)- 72, 11, 5, 9
PA-11 (D+5)- Kanjorski (D)- 93, 2, 3, 1
PA-12 (D+5)- Murtha (D)- 95, 3, 1, 0
PA-13 (D+8)- Schwartz (D)- 86, 6, 3, 4
DE (D+7)- Castle (R)- 72, 19, 5, 2
MD-02 (D+8)- Ruppersburger (D)- 66, 27, 2, 2
MD-03 (D+7)- Sarbanes (D)- 76, 16, 3, 3
MD-05 (D+9)- Hoyer (D)- 60, 30, 3, 4

The Midwest has 100 House seats, of which 11 are D+5 to D+9. IN-07 is rated competitive. None of these seats are in Republican hands.

OH-09 (D+9)- Kaptur (D)- 80, 14, 4, 1
OH-10 (D+6)- Kucinich (D)- 87, 4, 5, 2
OH-13 (D+6)- Sutton (D)- 82, 12, 4, 1
IN-01 (D+8)- Visclosky (D)- 70, 18, 10, 1
IN-07 (D+9)- Carson (D)- 63, 29, 4, 1
IL-12 (D+5)- Costello (D)- 80, 16, 2, 1
IL-17 (D+5)- Hare (D)- 87, 7, 4, 1
MN-08 (D+4)- Oberstar (D)- 95, 1, 1, 0
IA-01 (D+5)- Braley (D)- 92, 4, 2, 1
IA-02 (D+7)- Loebsack (D)- 92, 2, 3, 2
MO-03 (D+8)- Boswell (D)- 90, 3, 3, 2

The South has 145 House seats, of which 6 are D+5 to D+9. None are rated competitive. None of these seats are in Republican hands.

NC-01 (D+9)- Butterfield (D)- 44, 50, 3, 0
NC-04 (D+6)- Price (D)- 69, 21, 5, 4
TN-05 (D+6)- Cooper (D)- 68, 23, 4, 2
TX-16 (D+9)- Reyes (D)- 17, 3, 78, 1
TX-20 (D+8)- Gonzalez (D)- 23, 7, 67, 1
TX-29 (D+8)- Green (D)- 22, 10, 66, 1

The West has 98 House seats, of which 13 are D+5 to D+9. None are rated competitive. None of these seats are in Republican hands.

CO-02 (D+8)- M. Udall (D)- 79, 1, 15, 3
NM-03 (D+6)- T. Udall (D)- 41, 1, 36, 1
NV-01 (D+1)- Berkley (D)- 52, 12, 28, 5
CA-10 (D+9)- Tauscher (D)- 65, 6, 15, 9
CA-20 (D+5)- Costa (D)- 21, 7, 63, 6
CA-23 (D+9)- Capps (D)- 49, 2, 42, 5
CA-47 (D+5)- L. Sanchez (D)- 17, 1, 65, 14
CA-51 (D+7)- Filner (D)- 21, 9, 53, 12
OR-01 (D+6)- Wu (D)- 81, 1, 9, 5
WA-01 (D+7)- Inslee (D)- 82, 2, 4, 8
WA-06 (D+6)- Dicks (D)- 78, 6, 5, 4
WA-09 (D+6)- Smith (D)- 73, 6, 7, 7
HI-01 (D+7)- Abercrombie (D)- 18, 2, 5, 54