Deep Red America-- Fun With the Partisan Voting Index

The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) of a Congressional district is equal to the difference between the percentage of the vote received by George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 and the national average. This post lists areas with PVI's of +10 or larger, which are therefore heavily Democratic. Of 106 seats with PVI of D+10 or greater, 7 are held by Democrats. The CQPolitics clickable map was used for the data below, except for the PVIs.

Below, seats are given with their PVI, occupant, and percentages of non-Latino whites/African Americans/Latinos/Asians. All of these districts are majority white except for CA-21 (46% white) and TX-32 (50% white).

The ten most Republican districts are

UT-01 (+26)- Bishop (R)- 83, 1, 11, 2
AL-06 (+25)- Bachus (R)- 89, 8, 2, 1
TX-11 (+25)- Conaway (R)- 65, 4, 30, 1
TX-19 (+25)- Neugebauer (R)- 64, 5, 29, 1
GA-09 (+24)- Deal (R)- 81, 14, 3, 1
NE-03 (+24)- Smith (R)- 92, 0, 6, 0
UT-03 (+22)- Cannon (R)- 85, 0, 10, 2
IN-05 (+20)- Burton (R)- 93, 3, 2, 1
KS-01 (+20)- Moran (R)- 85, 2, 11, 1
TX-08 (+20)- Brady (R)- 80, 9, 9, 1

This is a mixed lot. They tend to be white, but TX-11 and TX-19 have large Latino populations. They tend to be rural, but UT-01 ,UT-03, IN-05, TX-08, and TX-14 contain suburban parts of the Salt Lake City, Indianapolis, and Houston metropolitan areas, with the Utah seats containing parts of the central city.

There are 52 districts with D+20 or greater, as opposed to only 11 with R+20 or greater, and the most Democratic districts, NY-15 and NY-16 in New York City, are D+43, implying over 90% votes against George W. Bush. In contrast, Kerry got 25% and Gore got 27% in UT-01, the most Republican district.

The Northeast has 92 House seats, of which 6 (6.5%) are R+10 or higher and none are R+20 or higher. Gilchrist, an antiwar Republican, lost a primary to a prowar opponent and his seat is rated as competitive.

PA-05 (+10)- Peterson (R)- 96, 1, 1, 2
PA-09 (+15)- Shuster (R)- 96, 2, 1, 0
PA-16 (+11)- Pitts (R)- 85, 4, 9, 1
PA-19 (+12)- Platts (R)- 92, 3, 3, 1
MD-01 (+10)- Gilchrist (R)- 85, 11, 2, 1
MD-06 (+13)- Bartlett (R)- 92, 5, 1, 1

The Midwest has 100 House seats, of which 18 (18%) are R+10 or higher and 3 (3%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface. OH-02 is rated as competitive. MO-04, ND, and SD are represented by Democrats who are rated to be in safe seats.

OH-02 (+13)- Schmidt (R)- 92, 5, 1, 1
OH-04 (+14)- Jordan (R)- 92, 5, 1, 1
OH-05 (+10)- Latta (R)- 94, 1, 4, 0
OH-08 (+12)- Boehner (R)- 92, 4, 1, 1
IN-03 (+16)- Souder (R)- 88, 6, 4, 1
IN-04 (+17)- Buyer (R)- 94, 1, 3, 1
IN-05 (+20)- Burton (R)- 93, 3, 2, 1
IN-06 (+11)- Pence (R)- 93, 4, 1, 0
WI-05 (+12)- Sensenbrenner (R)- 94, 1, 2, 2
MO-04 (+11)- Skelton (D)- 92, 3, 2, 1
MO-07 (+14)- Blunt (R)- 93, 1, 3, 1
MO-08 (+11)- Emerson (R)- 92, 4, 1, 0
NE-01 (+11)- Fortenberry (R)- 91, 1, 4, 2
NE-03 (+24)- Smith (R)- 92, 0, 6, 0
ND (+13)- Pomeroy (D)- 92, 1, 1, 1
SD (+10)- Sandlin (D)- 88, 1, 1, 1
KS-01 (+20)- Moran (R)- 85, 2, 11, 1
KS-04 (+12)- Tiahrt (R)- 81, 7, 7, 2

The South has 145 House seats, of which 61 (42%) are D+10 or higher and 5 (3.4%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface. AL-02 (R) and TX-22 (D) are rated as competitive. MS-04, TX-17, and TX-22 are represented by Democrats with the first two rated as safe. Note that since the PVI is based on elections in which George W. Bush was a candidate, the Texas PVIs may show these areas to be more Republican than they really are.

VA-06 (+11)- Goodlatte (R)- 85 11 2 1
VA-07 (+11)- Cantor (R)- 78 16 2 2
NC-03 (+15)- Jones (R)- 76 17 4 1
NC-05 (+15)- Foxx (R)- 88 7 4 1
NC-06 (+17)- Coble (R)- 85 9 4 1
NC-09 (+12)- Myrick (R)- 83 10 4 2
NC-10 (+15)- McHenry (R)- 85 9 3 1
SC-01 (+10)- Brown (R)- 74 21 3 1
SC-03 (+14)- Barrett (R)- 76 21 2 1
SC-04 (+15)- Inglis (R)- 75 20 3 1
GA-01 (+14)- Kingston (R)- 71 23 4 1
GA-03 (+19)- Westmoreland (R)- 56, 40, 3, 1
GA-06 (+19)- Price (R)- 83, 7, 5, 4
GA-07 (+19)- Linder (R)- 82, 7, 5, 4
GA-09 (+24)- Deal (R)- 81, 14, 3, 1
GA-10 (+14)- Broun (R)- 85, 3, 9, 1
GA-11 (+18)- Gingrey (R)- 62, 28, 7, 1
FL-01 (+19)- Miller (R)- 78, 14, 3, 2
FL-04 (+16)- Crenshaw (R)- 78, 14, 4, 2
FL-14 (+10)- Mack (R)- 84, 5, 9, 1
KY-01 (+10)- Whitfield (R)- 90, 7, 1, 0
KY-02 (+13)- Lewis (R)- 91, 6, 2, 1
KY-04 (+12)- Davis (R)- 95, 2, 1, 0
TN-01 (+14)- Davis (R)- 95, 2, 1, 0
TN-02 (+11)- Duncan (R)- 90, 6, 1, 1
TN-07 (+12)- Blackburn (R)- 83, 11, 2, 1
AL-01 (+12)- Bonner (R)- 68, 28, 1, 1
AL-02 (+13)- Everett (R)- 67, 29, 2, 1
AL-04 (+16)- Aderholt (R)- 90, 5, 3, 0
AL-06 (+25)- Bachus (R)- 89, 8, 2, 1
MS-01 (+10)- was Wicker (R)- 71, 26, 1, 0
MS-03 (+13)- Pickering (R)- 64, 33, 1, 1
MS-04 (+16)- Taylor (D)- 73, 22, 2, 1
AR-03 (+11)- Boozman (R)- 87, 2, 6, 1
LA-01 (+18)- was Jindal (R)- 80, 13, 5, 2
LA-05 (+10)- Alexander (R)- 63, 34, 1, 1
OK-01 (+13)- Sullivan (R)- 74, 9, 5, 1
OK-03 (+18)- Lucas (R)- 81, 4, 5, 1
OK-04 (+13)- Cole (R)- 78, 7, 5, 2
OK-05 (+12)- Fallin (R)- 68, 14, 8, 3
TX-01 (+17)- Gohmert (R)- 71, 18, 9, 1
TX-02 (+12)- Poe (R)- 64, 19, 13, 3
TX-03 (+17)- Johnson (R)- 63, 9, 17, 8
TX-04 (+17)- Hall (R)- 79, 10, 8, 1
TX-05 (+16)- Hensarling (R)- 72, 12, 13, 2
TX-06 (+15)- Barton (R)- 66, 13, 16, 3
TX-07 (+16)- Culberson (R)- 67, 6, 18, 7
TX-08 (+20)- Brady (R)- 80, 9, 9, 1
TX-10 (+13)- McCaul (R)- 66, 9, 19, 4
TX-11 (+25)- Conaway (R)- 65, 4, 30, 1
TX-12 (+14)- Granger (R)- 67, 6, 24, 2
TX-13 (+18)- Thornberry (R)- 74, 6, 18, 1
TX-14 (+14)- Paul (R)- 62, 10, 25, 2
TX-17 (+18)- Edwards (D)- 71, 10, 15, 1
TX-19 (+25)- Neugebauer (R)- 64, 5, 29, 1
TX-21 (+13)- Smith (R)- 73, 4, 18, 3
TX-22 (+15)- Lampson (D)- 61, 9, 20, 8
TX-24 (+15)- Marchant (R)- 64, 10, 18, 6
TX-26 (+12)- Burgess (R)- 66, 15, 14, 2
TX-31 (+15)- Carter (R)- 66, 13, 16, 2
TX-32 (+11)- Sessions (R)- 50, 8, 36, 4

The West has 98 House seats, of which 20 (20%) are R+10 or higher and 2 (2%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface. AK, CA-04, ID-01, and WY are rated as competitive. UT-02 is represented by a Democrat rated as safe.

MT (+11)- Rehberg (R)- 90, 0, 2, 1
WY (+19)- Cubin (R)- 89, 1, 6, 1
CO-05 (+16)- Lamborn (R)- 77, 6, 11, 2
CO-06 (+10)- Tancredo (R)- 88, 2, 6, 3
ID-01 (+19)- Sali (R)- 89, 0, 7, 1
ID-02 (+19)- Simpson (R)- 87, 0, 9, 1
UT-01 (+26)- Bishop (R)- 83, 1, 11, 2
UT-02 (+17)- Matheson (D)- 88, 1, 6, 2
UT-03 (+22)- Cannon (R)- 85, 0, 10, 2
AZ-06 (+12)- Flake (R)- 77 2 17 2
CA-02 (+13)- Herger (R)- 76, 1, 14, 4
CA-04 (+11)- Doolittle (R)- 84, 1, 9, 2
CA-19 (+10)- Radanovich (R)- 60, 3, 28, 4
CA-21 (+13)- Nunes (R)- 46, 2, 43, 5
CA-22 (+16)- McCarthy (R)- 67, 6, 21, 3
CA-42 (+10)- Miller (R)- 54, 3, 24, 16
CA-49 (+10)- Issa (R)- 58, 5, 30, 3
OR-02 (+11)- Walden (R)- 86, 0, 9, 1
WA-04 (+13)- Hastings (R)- 68, 1, 26, 1
AK (+14)- Young (R)- 68, 3, 4, 4