Deep Red America-- Fun With the Partisan Voting Index

The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) of a Congressional district is equal to the difference between the percentage of the vote received by George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 and the national average. This post lists areas with PVI's of +10 or larger, which are therefore heavily Democratic. Of 106 seats with PVI of D+10 or greater, 7 are held by Democrats. The CQPolitics clickable map was used for the data below, except for the PVIs.

Below, seats are given with their PVI, occupant, and percentages of non-Latino whites/African Americans/Latinos/Asians. All of these districts are majority white except for CA-21 (46% white) and TX-32 (50% white).

The ten most Republican districts are

UT-01 (+26)- Bishop (R)- 83, 1, 11, 2
AL-06 (+25)- Bachus (R)- 89, 8, 2, 1
TX-11 (+25)- Conaway (R)- 65, 4, 30, 1
TX-19 (+25)- Neugebauer (R)- 64, 5, 29, 1
GA-09 (+24)- Deal (R)- 81, 14, 3, 1
NE-03 (+24)- Smith (R)- 92, 0, 6, 0
UT-03 (+22)- Cannon (R)- 85, 0, 10, 2
IN-05 (+20)- Burton (R)- 93, 3, 2, 1
KS-01 (+20)- Moran (R)- 85, 2, 11, 1
TX-08 (+20)- Brady (R)- 80, 9, 9, 1

This is a mixed lot. They tend to be white, but TX-11 and TX-19 have large Latino populations. They tend to be rural, but UT-01 ,UT-03, IN-05, TX-08, and TX-14 contain suburban parts of the Salt Lake City, Indianapolis, and Houston metropolitan areas, with the Utah seats containing parts of the central city.

There are 52 districts with D+20 or greater, as opposed to only 11 with R+20 or greater, and the most Democratic districts, NY-15 and NY-16 in New York City, are D+43, implying over 90% votes against George W. Bush. In contrast, Kerry got 25% and Gore got 27% in UT-01, the most Republican district.

The Northeast has 92 House seats, of which 6 (6.5%) are R+10 or higher and none are R+20 or higher. Gilchrist, an antiwar Republican, lost a primary to a prowar opponent and his seat is rated as competitive.

PA-05 (+10)- Peterson (R)- 96, 1, 1, 2
PA-09 (+15)- Shuster (R)- 96, 2, 1, 0
PA-16 (+11)- Pitts (R)- 85, 4, 9, 1
PA-19 (+12)- Platts (R)- 92, 3, 3, 1
MD-01 (+10)- Gilchrist (R)- 85, 11, 2, 1
MD-06 (+13)- Bartlett (R)- 92, 5, 1, 1

The Midwest has 100 House seats, of which 18 (18%) are R+10 or higher and 3 (3%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface. OH-02 is rated as competitive. MO-04, ND, and SD are represented by Democrats who are rated to be in safe seats.

OH-02 (+13)- Schmidt (R)- 92, 5, 1, 1
OH-04 (+14)- Jordan (R)- 92, 5, 1, 1
OH-05 (+10)- Latta (R)- 94, 1, 4, 0
OH-08 (+12)- Boehner (R)- 92, 4, 1, 1
IN-03 (+16)- Souder (R)- 88, 6, 4, 1
IN-04 (+17)- Buyer (R)- 94, 1, 3, 1
IN-05 (+20)- Burton (R)- 93, 3, 2, 1
IN-06 (+11)- Pence (R)- 93, 4, 1, 0
WI-05 (+12)- Sensenbrenner (R)- 94, 1, 2, 2
MO-04 (+11)- Skelton (D)- 92, 3, 2, 1
MO-07 (+14)- Blunt (R)- 93, 1, 3, 1
MO-08 (+11)- Emerson (R)- 92, 4, 1, 0
NE-01 (+11)- Fortenberry (R)- 91, 1, 4, 2
NE-03 (+24)- Smith (R)- 92, 0, 6, 0
ND (+13)- Pomeroy (D)- 92, 1, 1, 1
SD (+10)- Sandlin (D)- 88, 1, 1, 1
KS-01 (+20)- Moran (R)- 85, 2, 11, 1
KS-04 (+12)- Tiahrt (R)- 81, 7, 7, 2

The South has 145 House seats, of which 61 (42%) are D+10 or higher and 5 (3.4%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface. AL-02 (R) and TX-22 (D) are rated as competitive. MS-04, TX-17, and TX-22 are represented by Democrats with the first two rated as safe. Note that since the PVI is based on elections in which George W. Bush was a candidate, the Texas PVIs may show these areas to be more Republican than they really are.

VA-06 (+11)- Goodlatte (R)- 85 11 2 1
VA-07 (+11)- Cantor (R)- 78 16 2 2
NC-03 (+15)- Jones (R)- 76 17 4 1
NC-05 (+15)- Foxx (R)- 88 7 4 1
NC-06 (+17)- Coble (R)- 85 9 4 1
NC-09 (+12)- Myrick (R)- 83 10 4 2
NC-10 (+15)- McHenry (R)- 85 9 3 1
SC-01 (+10)- Brown (R)- 74 21 3 1
SC-03 (+14)- Barrett (R)- 76 21 2 1
SC-04 (+15)- Inglis (R)- 75 20 3 1
GA-01 (+14)- Kingston (R)- 71 23 4 1
GA-03 (+19)- Westmoreland (R)- 56, 40, 3, 1
GA-06 (+19)- Price (R)- 83, 7, 5, 4
GA-07 (+19)- Linder (R)- 82, 7, 5, 4
GA-09 (+24)- Deal (R)- 81, 14, 3, 1
GA-10 (+14)- Broun (R)- 85, 3, 9, 1
GA-11 (+18)- Gingrey (R)- 62, 28, 7, 1
FL-01 (+19)- Miller (R)- 78, 14, 3, 2
FL-04 (+16)- Crenshaw (R)- 78, 14, 4, 2
FL-14 (+10)- Mack (R)- 84, 5, 9, 1
KY-01 (+10)- Whitfield (R)- 90, 7, 1, 0
KY-02 (+13)- Lewis (R)- 91, 6, 2, 1
KY-04 (+12)- Davis (R)- 95, 2, 1, 0
TN-01 (+14)- Davis (R)- 95, 2, 1, 0
TN-02 (+11)- Duncan (R)- 90, 6, 1, 1
TN-07 (+12)- Blackburn (R)- 83, 11, 2, 1
AL-01 (+12)- Bonner (R)- 68, 28, 1, 1
AL-02 (+13)- Everett (R)- 67, 29, 2, 1
AL-04 (+16)- Aderholt (R)- 90, 5, 3, 0
AL-06 (+25)- Bachus (R)- 89, 8, 2, 1
MS-01 (+10)- was Wicker (R)- 71, 26, 1, 0
MS-03 (+13)- Pickering (R)- 64, 33, 1, 1
MS-04 (+16)- Taylor (D)- 73, 22, 2, 1
AR-03 (+11)- Boozman (R)- 87, 2, 6, 1
LA-01 (+18)- was Jindal (R)- 80, 13, 5, 2
LA-05 (+10)- Alexander (R)- 63, 34, 1, 1
OK-01 (+13)- Sullivan (R)- 74, 9, 5, 1
OK-03 (+18)- Lucas (R)- 81, 4, 5, 1
OK-04 (+13)- Cole (R)- 78, 7, 5, 2
OK-05 (+12)- Fallin (R)- 68, 14, 8, 3
TX-01 (+17)- Gohmert (R)- 71, 18, 9, 1
TX-02 (+12)- Poe (R)- 64, 19, 13, 3
TX-03 (+17)- Johnson (R)- 63, 9, 17, 8
TX-04 (+17)- Hall (R)- 79, 10, 8, 1
TX-05 (+16)- Hensarling (R)- 72, 12, 13, 2
TX-06 (+15)- Barton (R)- 66, 13, 16, 3
TX-07 (+16)- Culberson (R)- 67, 6, 18, 7
TX-08 (+20)- Brady (R)- 80, 9, 9, 1
TX-10 (+13)- McCaul (R)- 66, 9, 19, 4
TX-11 (+25)- Conaway (R)- 65, 4, 30, 1
TX-12 (+14)- Granger (R)- 67, 6, 24, 2
TX-13 (+18)- Thornberry (R)- 74, 6, 18, 1
TX-14 (+14)- Paul (R)- 62, 10, 25, 2
TX-17 (+18)- Edwards (D)- 71, 10, 15, 1
TX-19 (+25)- Neugebauer (R)- 64, 5, 29, 1
TX-21 (+13)- Smith (R)- 73, 4, 18, 3
TX-22 (+15)- Lampson (D)- 61, 9, 20, 8
TX-24 (+15)- Marchant (R)- 64, 10, 18, 6
TX-26 (+12)- Burgess (R)- 66, 15, 14, 2
TX-31 (+15)- Carter (R)- 66, 13, 16, 2
TX-32 (+11)- Sessions (R)- 50, 8, 36, 4

The West has 98 House seats, of which 20 (20%) are R+10 or higher and 2 (2%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface. AK, CA-04, ID-01, and WY are rated as competitive. UT-02 is represented by a Democrat rated as safe.

MT (+11)- Rehberg (R)- 90, 0, 2, 1
WY (+19)- Cubin (R)- 89, 1, 6, 1
CO-05 (+16)- Lamborn (R)- 77, 6, 11, 2
CO-06 (+10)- Tancredo (R)- 88, 2, 6, 3
ID-01 (+19)- Sali (R)- 89, 0, 7, 1
ID-02 (+19)- Simpson (R)- 87, 0, 9, 1
UT-01 (+26)- Bishop (R)- 83, 1, 11, 2
UT-02 (+17)- Matheson (D)- 88, 1, 6, 2
UT-03 (+22)- Cannon (R)- 85, 0, 10, 2
AZ-06 (+12)- Flake (R)- 77 2 17 2
CA-02 (+13)- Herger (R)- 76, 1, 14, 4
CA-04 (+11)- Doolittle (R)- 84, 1, 9, 2
CA-19 (+10)- Radanovich (R)- 60, 3, 28, 4
CA-21 (+13)- Nunes (R)- 46, 2, 43, 5
CA-22 (+16)- McCarthy (R)- 67, 6, 21, 3
CA-42 (+10)- Miller (R)- 54, 3, 24, 16
CA-49 (+10)- Issa (R)- 58, 5, 30, 3
OR-02 (+11)- Walden (R)- 86, 0, 9, 1
WA-04 (+13)- Hastings (R)- 68, 1, 26, 1
AK (+14)- Young (R)- 68, 3, 4, 4

Deep Blue America--Fun With the Partisan Voting Index

The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) of a Congressional district is equal to the difference between the percentage of the vote received by George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 and the national average. This post lists areas with PVI's of +10 or larger, which are therefore heavily Democratic. Of 111 seats with PVI of D+10 or greater, not a single seat is held by a Republican.
Furthermore, none of these seats are even rated as competitive by CQPolitics on their site. The CQPolitics clickable map was used for the data below, except for the PVIs.

Below, seats are given with their PVI, occupant, and percentages of non-Latino whites/African Americans/Latinos/Asians.

The ten most Democratic districts are

NY-15 (+43)- Rangel (D)- 16, 31, 48, 3
NY-16 (+43)- Serrano (D)- 3, 30, 63, 2
NY-10 (+41)- Towns (D)- 16, 60, 17, 3
NY-11 (+40)- Clarke (D)- 21, 59, 12, 40
PA-02 (+39)- Fattah (D)- 30, 61, 3, 4
CA-09 (+38)- Lee (D)- 35, 26, 19, 15
NY-06 (+38)- Meeks (D)- 13, 52, 17, 9
CA-08 (+36)- Pelosi (D)- 43, 9, 16, 29
CA-33 (+36)- Watson (D)- 20, 30, 35, 12
PA-01 (+36)- Brady (D)- 33, 45, 15, 5

These are all in major cities- New York has five, Philadelphia has two, and San Francisco, Oakland, and Los Angeles have one each. All have less than 50% white people, with Pelosi's 43% white district being the whitest. The most Democratic white-majority district, NY-14, also in New York City, is D+26.

There are 111 districts with PVIs of D+10 or larger, with 52 of these being D+20 or larger. This stands in contrast to heavily Republican areas, where 106 have PVIs of R+10 or larger but only 10 are R+20 or larger. The most Republican district in the House, UT-01, is only R+26.

The Northeast has 92 House seats, of which 38 (41%) are D+10 or higher and 19 (21%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface.

MA-01 (+15)- Olver (D) - 89, 2, 6, 2
MA-02 (+11)- Neal (D)- 82, 5, 9, 1
MA-03 (+11)- McGovern (D)- 86, 3, 6, 3
MA-04 (+17)- Frank (D)- 88, 2, 3, 3
MA-06 (+10)- Tierney (D)- 90, 2, 4, 2
MA-07 (+18)- Markey (D)- 84, 3, 5, 6
MA-08 (+31)- Capuano (D)- 49, 22, 16, 8
MA-09 (+15)- Lynch (D)- 79, 8, 5, 4
RI-01 (+16)- Kennedy (D)- 83, 4, 7, 2
RI-02 (+13)- Langevin (D)- 81, 4, 10, 3
CT-01 (+14)- Larson (D)- 72, 13, 11, 2
CT-03 (+12)- DeLauro (D)- 76, 11, 8, 3
NY-05 (+18)- Ackerman (D)- 44, 5, 23, 24
NY-06 (+38)- Meeks (D)- 13, 52, 17, 9
NY-07 (+28)- Crowley (D)- 28, 17, 40, 3
NY-08 (+20)- Nadler (D)- 69, 5, 12, 11
NY-09 (+14)- Weiner (D)- 64, 4, 14, 15
NY-10 (+41)- Towns (D)- 16, 60, 17, 3
NY-11 (+40)- Clarke (D)- 21, 59, 12, 4
NY-12 (+34)- Velazquez (D)- 23, 9, 49, 16
NY-14 (+26)- Maloney (D)- 66, 5, 14, 11
NY-15 (+43)- Rangel (D)- 16, 31, 48, 3
NY-16 (+43)- Serrano (D)- 3, 30, 63, 2
NY-17 (+21)- Engel (D)- 41, 30, 20, 5
NY-18 (+10)- Lowey (D)- 67, 9, 16, 5
NY-28 (+15)- Slaughter (D)- 62, 29, 6, 1
NJ-01 (+14)- Andrews (D)- 71, 16, 8, 3
NJ-06 (+12)- Pallone (D)- 62, 16, 12, 8
NJ-08 (+12)- Pascrell (D)- 54, 13, 26, 5
NJ-09 (+13)- Rothman (D)- 61, 7, 19, 11
NJ-10 (+34)- Payne (D)- 21, 57, 15, 4
NJ-13 (+23)- Sires (D)- 32, 11, 48, 6
PA-01 (+36)- Brady (D)- 33, 45, 15, 5
PA-02 (+39)- Fattah (D)- 30, 61, 3, 4
PA-14 (+22)- Doyle (D)- 73, 23, 1, 2
MD-04 (+30)- Wynn (D)- 28, 57, 8, 6
MD-07 (+25)- Cummings (D)- 34, 59, 2, 4
MD-08 (+20)- Van Hollen (D)- 56, 16, 14, 11

The Midwest has 100 House seats, of which 20 (20%) are D+10 or higher and 10 (10%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface.

OH-11 (+33)- Tubbs Jones (D)- 39 56 2 2
OH-17 (+14)- Ryan (D)- 85 12 2 1
MI-05 (+12)- Kildee (D)- 75 8 14 1
MI-12 (+13)- S. Levin (D)- 82 12 1 2
MI-13 (+32)- Kirkpatrick (D)- 29 60 7 1
MI-14 (+33)- Conyers (D)- 32 61 2 1
MI-15 (+13)- Dingell (D)- 79 12 3 4
IL-01 (+35)- Rush (D)- 27 65 5 1
IL-02 (+35)- Jackson (D)- 26 62 10 1
IL-03 (+10)- Lipinski (D)- 68 6 21 3
IL-04 (+13)- Gutierrez (D)- 18 4 74 2
IL-05 (+18)- Emanuel (D)- 66 2 23 6
IL-07 (+35)- Davis (D)- 27 62 6 4
IL-09 (+20)- Schakowsky (D)- 62 11 12 12
WI-02 (+13)- Baldwin (D)- 89 4 3 2
WI-04 (+20)- Moore (D)- 50 33 11 3
MN-04 (+13)- McCollum (D)- 78 6 5 8
MN-05 (+21)- Ellison (D)- 71 13 5 6
MO-01 (+26)- Clay (D)- 46 50 1 2
MO-05 (+12)- Cleaver (D)- 66 24 6 1

The South has 145 House seats, of which 20 (14%) are D+10 or higher and 8 (5.5%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface.

VA-03 (+18)- Scott (D)- 38 56 3 1
VA-08 (+14)- Moran (D)- 57 13 16 9
NC-12 (+11)- Watt (D)- 45 45 7 2
SC-06 (+11)- Clyburn (D)- 40 57 1 1
GA-04 (+22)- Johnson (D)- 32 53 9 4
GA-05 (+25)- Lewis (D)- 34 56 6 2
GA-13 (+10)- Scott (D)- 42 41 10 5
TN-09 (+18)- Cohen (D)- 35 59 3 2
AL-07 (+17)- Davis (D)- 36 62 1 1
FL-03 (+16)- Brown (D)- 38 49 8 2
FL-11 (+11)- Castor (D)- 48 27 20 2
FL-17 (+35)- Meek (D)- 18 55 21 2
FL-19 (+21)- Wexler (D)- 77 6 13 2
FL-20 (+18)- Wasserman Schultz (D)- 67 8 21 2
FL-23 (+29)- Hastings (D)- 29 51 14 1
MS-02 (+10)- Thompson (D)- 35 63 1 0
LA-02 (+28)- Jefferson (D)- 28 64 4 3
TX-09 (+21)- Green (D)- 17 37 33 11
TX-18 (+23)- Jackson Lee (D)- 20 40 36 3
TX-30 (+26)- Johnson (D)- 22 41 34 1

The West has 98 House seats, of which 33 (34%) are D+10 or higher and 15 (15%) are D+20 or higher. Below, those at D+20 or higher are boldface.

AZ-04 (+14)- Pastor (D)- 29 7 58 1
AZ-07 (+10)- Grijalva (D)- 39 3 51 1
CO-01 (+18)- DeGette (D)- 54 10 30 3
CA-01 (+10)- Thompson (D)- 71 1 18 4
CA-05 (+14)- Matsui (D)- 43 14 21 15
CA-06 (+21)- Woolsey (D)- 76 2 15 4
CA-07 (+19)- Miller (D)- 43 17 21 13
CA-08 (+36)- Pelosi (D)- 43, 9, 16, 29
CA-09 (+38)- Lee (D)- 35, 26, 19, 15
CA-12 (+22)- Speier (D)- 48, 3, 16, 29
CA-13 (+22)- Stark (D)- 38, 6, 21, 28
CA-14 (+18)- Eshoo (D)- 60, 3, 18, 16
CA-15 (+14)- Honda (D)- 47, 2, 17, 29
CA-16 (+16)- Lofgren (D)- 32, 3, 38, 23
CA-17 (+17)- Farr (D)- 46, 3, 43, 5
CA-27 (+13)- Sherman (D)- 45, 4, 36, 11
CA-28 (+25)- Berman (D)- 31, 4, 56, 6
CA-29 (+12)- Schiff (D)- 39, 6, 26, 24
CA-30 (+20)- Waxman (D)- 76, 3, 8, 9
CA-31 (+30)- Becerra (D)- 10, 4, 70, 14
CA-32 (+17)- Solis (D)- 15, 3, 62, 18
CA-33 (+36)- Watson (D)- 20, 30, 35, 12
CA-34 (+23)- Roybal-Allard (D)- 11, 4, 77, 5
CA-35 (+33)- Waters (D)- 10, 34, 47, 6
CA-36 (+11)- Harman (D)- 48, 4, 30, 13
CA-37 (+27)- Richardson (D)- 17, 25, 43, 11
CA-38 (+20)- Napolitano (D)- 14, 4, 71, 10
CA-39 (+13)- Linda Sanchez (D)- 21, 6, 61, 10
CA-43 (+13)- Baca (D)- 23, 12, 58, 3
CA-53 (+12)- Davis (D)- 51, 7, 29, 8
OR-03 (+18)- Blumenauer (D)- 77, 5, 8, 5
WA-07 (+30)- McDermott (D)- 67, 8, 6, 13
HI-02 (+10)- Hirono (D)- 28, 2, 9, 28